The Precedent Daily: Friday, October 30, 2026

The Precedent Daily: Friday, October 30, 2026

Troy stuns No. 14 James Madison, and Indiana takes over No. 1

A 107-place upset in Harrisonburg, a new college football No. 1 without a snap, a buzzer-beating hat trick in Pittsburgh and Memphis still perfect.

Thursday's top five

  1. Troy, 121st in The Precedent's Rating, won at No. 14 James Madison in overtime. The Dukes led 21-7 at halftime. Troy scored twice in the third quarter to tie it, and neither team scored in the fourth. Hayden Wolfe's 27-yard field goal in overtime won it 24-21. James Madison fell from 14th to 28th, and Troy climbed to 104th.
  2. Indiana is college football's new No. 1 without playing. North Texas, a team Indiana has already played, beat Florida Atlantic 48-41, and that lifted the combined winning percentage of Indiana's opponents from .578 to .587. That was enough to move the 7-1 Hoosiers from third to first. Texas, first yesterday, is second and Miami (FL) third, both idle.
  3. St. Louis beat No. 2 Boston 4-1. Boston scored first, but the Blues took over in the second period and scored the last four goals. Philip Broberg had a goal and two assists. Boston fell from second to seventh in the NHL Rating, and Washington, a 4-3 winner at Nashville, moved up to share first place with Utah.
  4. Utah tied it with one second left and won in overtime. Pittsburgh went ahead 3-2 in the final minute, but Logan Cooley finished his hat trick with one second to go, and Utah won 4-3 in overtime. The Mammoth stay first in the Rating, now tied with Washington.
  5. Memphis is 5-0. The Grizzlies were level with No. 3 Portland at halftime and pulled away after it, winning the fourth quarter 33-20 for a 124-103 win. Cameron Boozer had his first career triple-double. Memphis jumped from 18th to ninth in the Rating.

College Football

Troy's win at James Madison was the biggest upset of the day by Rating: No. 121 over No. 14. The Dukes had a 21-7 lead at halftime and scored nothing after it. Troy's record is 4-4, and James Madison is 7-2.

North Texas beat Florida Atlantic 48-41. The game was tied at halftime, and the Mean Green scored 17 points in the third quarter to take control. North Texas moved from 41st to 27th.

Indiana passed Texas and Miami (FL) without playing. The Hoosiers' own record didn't change; the North Texas win raised the records of the teams they have played. Florida, which has played Florida Atlantic, slipped from ninth to 11th, and Cincinnati moved into the top 10. Three teams are still unbeaten: Miami (FL), Utah and UCLA, all 7-0.

Top 25 results

Final (away first)Away rankHome rank
Troy 24 @ James Madison 21 OT121 → 10414 → 28

Ranks are The Precedent's Rating, yesterday → today. Games with a team ranked in the top 25 yesterday.

Biggest upsets by Rating

Winner (rank yesterday)Loser (rank yesterday)ScoreGap
No. 121 TroyNo. 14 James Madison24-21 OT107

Rating Top 5

RankTeamRecordRatingMoveSOSSOS rank
1Indiana7-10.503▲20.27436
2Texas5-20.501▼10.3631
3Miami (FL)7-00.500▼10.26840
4Kentucky7-10.464—0.32010
5Houston6-20.459—0.28622

Teams tied on Rating share a rank. SOS = average Rating of the opponents played.

Full College Football Ratings →

Biggest risers

TeamRecordYesterdayTodayMoveRatingResult
Troy4-4121104+170.168won
North Texas6-24127+140.341won
Utah State2-510297+50.175idle
Louisiana5-36460+40.261idle
Missouri5-22723+40.350idle

Biggest fallers

TeamRecordYesterdayTodayMoveRatingResult
James Madison7-21428-140.338lost
Army5-23035-50.325idle
Georgia Southern3-498102-40.170idle
Liberty6-15761-40.258idle
Georgia State4-398101-30.171idle

Unbeaten tracker

TeamRecordRank
Miami (FL)7-03
Utah7-016
UCLA7-024

Full College Football standings →

NHL

Boston's loss at St. Louis was the biggest upset of the day by Rating, No. 22 over No. 2. Los Angeles, 30th, beat No. 11 Ottawa 6-5 in overtime. The Kings built a four-goal lead in the second period, Ottawa scored four times in the third to tie it, and Los Angeles won it in overtime. The NY Islanders beat No. 5 Minnesota 4-3 in overtime, and Minnesota fell to eighth.

Washington's win at Nashville moved it into a tie with Utah for first. Six of the seven teams the Capitals have played won yesterday. Montreal won its fourth straight, 5-2 at Dallas, with three goals in the first period, and moved from 13th to ninth.

Carolina beat Columbus 3-2 and leads the league at 11-4; it was up 3-0 before Columbus scored twice. Tampa Bay scored four times in the second period to pull away from Winnipeg, won 6-4 and moved up to fourth. San Jose scored three times in the third period to come from behind and beat Vancouver 3-2.

Thursday's results

Final (away first)Away rankHome rank
Utah 4 @ Pittsburgh 3 OT1 → 125 → 25
Boston 1 @ St. Louis 42 → 722 → 19
Washington 4 @ Nashville 32 → 127 → 28
NY Islanders 4 @ Minnesota 3 OT20 → 175 → 8
Winnipeg 4 @ Tampa Bay 628 → 296 → 4
Columbus 2 @ Carolina 318 → 218 → 6
Ottawa 5 @ Los Angeles 6 OT11 → 1230 → 26
Montreal 5 @ Dallas 213 → 912 → 14
Vancouver 2 @ San Jose 331 → 3119 → 16
Buffalo 7 @ Anaheim 623 → 2226 → 27
Chicago 1 @ Detroit 429 → 3024 → 24

Ranks are The Precedent's Rating, yesterday → today. In The Precedent's Rating, an overtime or shootout winner gets a win and the other team a loss, so records here are W-L.

Biggest upsets by Rating

Winner (rank yesterday)Loser (rank yesterday)ScoreGap
No. 22 St. LouisNo. 2 Boston4-120
No. 30 Los AngelesNo. 11 Ottawa6-5 OT19
No. 20 NY IslandersNo. 5 Minnesota4-3 OT15

Rating Top 5

RankTeamRecordRatingMoveSOSSOS rank
1Utah9-50.344—0.2664
1Washington8-40.344▲10.25013
3Edmonton9-40.331▲10.24319
4Tampa Bay8-40.327▲20.25013
5Seattle8-50.323▲20.2636

Teams tied on Rating share a rank. SOS = average Rating of the opponents played.

Full NHL Ratings →

Biggest risers

TeamRecordYesterdayTodayMoveRatingResult
Los Angeles4-83026+40.187won
Montreal8-5139+40.288won
NY Islanders7-62017+30.246won
San Jose7-71916+30.247won
St. Louis6-72219+30.243won

Biggest fallers

TeamRecordYesterdayTodayMoveRatingResult
Boston9-527-50.305lost
Colorado7-61720-30.240idle
Columbus5-61821-30.233lost
Florida7-61518-30.244idle
Minnesota9-658-30.303lost

Rating vs record

TeamRecordRecord rankRating rank
NY Rangers7-71712
Toronto7-81915
Colorado7-61320
Vegas9-5511

Record rank is by winning percentage. The gap comes from the records of the teams each has played.

Full NHL standings and playoff picture →

NBA

Memphis and Houston are the NBA's last two unbeaten teams, both 5-0. The Grizzlies' win at Portland, No. 18 over No. 3, was the biggest upset of the day by Rating. Memphis is ninth; the records of the teams it has played are still the weakest in the league's top 10.

Atlanta beat Cleveland 114-111. The Cavaliers started fast, the Hawks took over in the second quarter, and Cleveland got within one in the final seconds before Atlanta held on. Atlanta jumped from 14th to eighth and Cleveland fell from seventh to 11th. New Orleans won its first game, 132-120 over Sacramento, which is still winless at 0-5.

Thursday's results

Final (away first)Away rankHome rank
Memphis 124 @ Portland 10318 → 93 → 3
Cleveland 111 @ Atlanta 1147 → 1114 → 8
Sacramento 120 @ New Orleans 13228 → 2928 → 28

Ranks are The Precedent's Rating, yesterday → today.

Biggest upsets by Rating

Winner (rank yesterday)Loser (rank yesterday)ScoreGap
No. 18 MemphisNo. 3 Portland124-10315

Rating Top 5

RankTeamRecordRatingMoveSOSSOS rank
1Houston5-00.481—0.2815
2Detroit4-10.434—0.25011
3Portland3-10.417—0.19924
4Philadelphia4-10.384—0.24215
5Oklahoma City4-10.381—0.24713

Teams tied on Rating share a rank. SOS = average Rating of the opponents played.

Full NBA Ratings →

Biggest risers

TeamRecordYesterdayTodayMoveRatingResult
Memphis5-0189+90.292won
Atlanta3-3148+60.310won
Charlotte3-21716+10.240idle
Denver2-22019+10.200idle
Indiana2-32221+10.150idle

Biggest fallers

TeamRecordYesterdayTodayMoveRatingResult
Cleveland3-2711-40.288lost
Minnesota3-21215-30.261idle
Phoenix1-21518-30.214idle
Boston3-11012-20.276idle
Toronto3-11012-20.276idle

Rating vs record

TeamRecordRecord rankRating rank
Atlanta3-3128
New Orleans1-41728
Chicago1-41727

Record rank is by winning percentage. The gap comes from the records of the teams each has played.

Full NBA standings →

NFL

Green Bay beat Carolina 27-19 on Thursday night. The Packers led 27-13 after three quarters, and Carolina's two field goals in the fourth weren't enough. Green Bay moved from 11th to ninth and is 5-3. Minnesota, 6-0, stays first.

Thursday's results

Final (away first)Away rankHome rank
Carolina 19 @ Green Bay 2716 → 1811 → 9

Ranks are The Precedent's Rating, yesterday → today.

Rating Top 5

RankTeamRecordRatingMoveSOSSOS rank
1Minnesota6-00.405—0.21924
2Denver5-20.373—0.24615
3Chicago5-20.364—0.2619
4Jacksonville4-20.358—0.2668
5San Francisco6-10.356—0.22421

Teams tied on Rating share a rank. SOS = average Rating of the opponents played.

Full NFL Ratings →

Biggest risers

TeamRecordYesterdayTodayMoveRatingResult
Green Bay5-3119+20.324won
Baltimore4-31817+10.238idle
Dallas3-42322+10.184idle
LA Rams3-41716+10.246idle

Biggest fallers

TeamRecordYesterdayTodayMoveRatingResult
Carolina3-41618-20.228lost
Cincinnati4-21213-10.300idle
Cleveland5-2910-10.313idle
Houston2-52627-10.146idle
Kansas City5-11011-10.312idle

Rating vs record

TeamRecordRecord rankRating rank
New England4-3146
Jacksonville4-294
Kansas City5-1311
NY Giants4-2-11219

Record rank is by winning percentage. The gap comes from the records of the teams each has played.

Full NFL standings and playoff picture →

Coming up today

NHL · 3 games

The closest matchup by Rating is No. 10 New Jersey at No. 11 Vegas at 5 PM. No. 5 Seattle visits Calgary, and Winnipeg, 29th, plays at Florida.

Time (CT)Game (Rating rank, record)
5:00 PMNo. 10 New Jersey (8-5)
@ No. 11 Vegas (9-5)
NHL Net
6:00 PMNo. 29 Winnipeg (4-9)
@ No. 18 Florida (7-6)
ESPN+
7:00 PMNo. 5 Seattle (8-5)
@ No. 23 Calgary (5-7)
ESPN+

NBA · 10 games

No. 1 Houston, 5-0, plays at No. 6 Dallas at 7 PM in a top-10 matchup, with its unbeaten start on the line. No. 2 Detroit visits winless Brooklyn, and No. 4 Philadelphia hosts New York.

Time (CT)Game (Rating rank, record)
6:00 PMNo. 16 Charlotte (3-2)
@ No. 20 Washington (2-3)
TV not listed
6:30 PMNo. 27 Chicago (1-4)
@ No. 12 Boston (3-1)
TV not listed
6:30 PMNo. 2 Detroit (4-1)
@ No. 29 Brooklyn (0-4)
TV not listed
6:30 PMNo. 17 New York (2-3)
@ No. 4 Philadelphia (4-1)
Prime Video
6:30 PMNo. 24 Orlando (1-3)
@ No. 12 Toronto (3-1)
TV not listed
7:00 PMNo. 21 Indiana (2-3)
@ No. 25 Miami (1-4)
TV not listed
7:00 PMNo. 1 Houston (5-0)
@ No. 6 Dallas (3-2)
TV not listed
At stake: Top-10 matchup
At stake: No. 1 Houston plays
7:00 PMNo. 21 LA Clippers (1-3)
@ No. 15 Minnesota (3-2)
TV not listed
9:00 PMNo. 10 LA Lakers (4-1)
@ No. 14 Golden State (2-3)
Prime Video
9:00 PMNo. 19 Denver (2-2)
@ No. 18 Phoenix (1-2)
TV not listed
The Precedent's Rating measures how well a team has done against the teams it has played. Ratings and results through Thursday, October 29, 2026. Times are Central.
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